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Dec 3, 2012
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i think the issue on europe though is one that we basically -- i agree with brian, we've put europe to the back burner and probably some time at the second half of next year it is going to crop back up as an issue. but you could see, for example, the sort of classic january bounce or we think actually fiscal cliff could be pushed into january by the time they actually finally get a resolution. kicking the can may be a couple of weeks but eventually getting to a resolution. then you're going to see some relief in the market and so that could be an interesting time. again it will probably be very temporary. >> i wonder whether we've become so myopic in talking about the fiscal cliff and issues here in the u.s., talking about fiscal issues in europe, quietly forgotten that places in the world, hong kong, india, many indices at new 52-week highs. we're missing out. >> yeah. we've actually seen some very, very interesting -- there have been positive trends in the may crow data driving markets up. china has been a bright spot and we think that will continue to be a bright spot for probably t
i think the issue on europe though is one that we basically -- i agree with brian, we've put europe to the back burner and probably some time at the second half of next year it is going to crop back up as an issue. but you could see, for example, the sort of classic january bounce or we think actually fiscal cliff could be pushed into january by the time they actually finally get a resolution. kicking the can may be a couple of weeks but eventually getting to a resolution. then you're going to...
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Dec 26, 2012
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linked exposure to the sovereign debt and banking debt of europe. we need to ask ourselves about how much exposure there might be for a given company to the chinese economy. for example, for most of 2011, it was impossible to own bank. they were perceived to have links to the troubled euro and its akurtdments. we tried to vacuum them from europe, the italian bond market or overstressed french and spanish counterparts. we got our heads handed to us. similarly, owning tech -- when tech is often to be considered heavily dependent upon europe. hey, come on, as much as 20%, 25% of earnings from tech are derived from the continent. typically it's been deadly. we know this because the business don't dodge in on the conference calls. that's how you learn about it, people. the analysts won't let them get away with. listen to the q&a. at the end of the call if you are in a company with european exposure, you'll hear one out of every two or three questions about europe. asia, one out of every two questions about china. just too hard a steeplechase to go throug
linked exposure to the sovereign debt and banking debt of europe. we need to ask ourselves about how much exposure there might be for a given company to the chinese economy. for example, for most of 2011, it was impossible to own bank. they were perceived to have links to the troubled euro and its akurtdments. we tried to vacuum them from europe, the italian bond market or overstressed french and spanish counterparts. we got our heads handed to us. similarly, owning tech -- when tech is often...
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Dec 19, 2012
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any growth we can get in europe is good news. the fact that germany is seeing stronger growth doesn't necessarily resolve on the european periphery. and i think this is really important to understand this divergence that we've seen in europe for a very long time now with the periphery and recession and germany doing better. and this is where perhaps we see a little bit of a paradox in the european situation. the ecb has fixed funding coming in with the omt as an insurance backing up the esm. at the same time, to access that program, to have that insurance, countries have to sign up to a program of austerity and structural reform. the same time we know that austerity and structural reform puts in danger the growth, risks social tension -- >> negative cycle, right -- >> of course to see downgrades in those countries. we see it's a very difficult situation in europe today. now coming back to the ecb and the ques of rate cut, i would say that if the ecb were to cut rates, it wouldn't really make a material change to my economic outlo
any growth we can get in europe is good news. the fact that germany is seeing stronger growth doesn't necessarily resolve on the european periphery. and i think this is really important to understand this divergence that we've seen in europe for a very long time now with the periphery and recession and germany doing better. and this is where perhaps we see a little bit of a paradox in the european situation. the ecb has fixed funding coming in with the omt as an insurance backing up the esm. at...
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Dec 31, 2012
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keep clear of europe for now. i think high yield debt will be interesting. within equities, if the economy starts really growing it will be more broad-based and people can move away from the more conservative investments and go into more cyclical as well as smaller cap stocks. >> optimistic view on 2013 from alison deans. always good to see you. >> thank you. >>> when we return on "the wall street journal report," maria will be back gazing into the crystal ball of 2013. what the new year may bring to wall street, to washington, and to your wallet. predictions and analysis to get you to january 1st and beyond. and then later, what a ride it's been. some of the biggest names and stories and ideas that made the 12 months of 2012. as we go to the break, a look at how the stock market ended the week. >>> another new year's eve approaches and instead of resolutions we're making bets and predictions for 2013 for washington, wall street, and around the world. joining me now is "the washington post"'s ezra klein and yahoo! finance senior columnist mike santoli. mike,
keep clear of europe for now. i think high yield debt will be interesting. within equities, if the economy starts really growing it will be more broad-based and people can move away from the more conservative investments and go into more cyclical as well as smaller cap stocks. >> optimistic view on 2013 from alison deans. always good to see you. >> thank you. >>> when we return on "the wall street journal report," maria will be back gazing into the crystal ball of...
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Dec 5, 2012
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the fiscal cliff is like what they had in europe. we need to look for companies being obliterated by the cliff. banco santander was perceived to be the biggest loser. but it turned out to be an amazing trade. the stock traveled to $7.72. i don't think it's done. charitable trust is buying a major midwestern lender. stock has been sliding every day. key is now under $8 and i can tell from the trading in the name it is not going to happen just yet. there are sellers everywhere. the only thing they have going for them is fears of the cliff. we know that when the cliff jump we know that when the cliff jump price , well, i say the worst has been prepared for. key bank may be the worst of the bunch. it has been a terrible investment up until things turned. and then we will look back and say what the heck were we thinking. why didn't we bid 7 and buy key bank instead of selling it like everybody else? stick with cramer.
the fiscal cliff is like what they had in europe. we need to look for companies being obliterated by the cliff. banco santander was perceived to be the biggest loser. but it turned out to be an amazing trade. the stock traveled to $7.72. i don't think it's done. charitable trust is buying a major midwestern lender. stock has been sliding every day. key is now under $8 and i can tell from the trading in the name it is not going to happen just yet. there are sellers everywhere. the only thing...
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Dec 4, 2012
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europe, don't forget, green mountain, it has been huge. starbu starbuck's should tell us what it is going to do with it's cash. they have the cash to do it. i prefer them to grow with the money. this is a major bone of contention. i think it is good. the bears, they seem to think that the coffee could be played out. starbucks will tell us about the new juice store concept. maybe it will give us insight to what could end up being one of the three top markets for the company india. i can't wait to hear about the projections about india. and of course they need to address teavana. i thought this could be a terrific move. seem to be quite popular. the earnings as early at 2013. not just the cute tea bags. like i want to add some hot tea. i think it could turn out to be howard's third place. this time for tea drinkers, it has become a hot button with the short selling community. those guys affirm that the company's tea are contaminated with pesticides to the point where 100 of the samples violate u.s. laws. the company is sticking to its story
europe, don't forget, green mountain, it has been huge. starbu starbuck's should tell us what it is going to do with it's cash. they have the cash to do it. i prefer them to grow with the money. this is a major bone of contention. i think it is good. the bears, they seem to think that the coffee could be played out. starbucks will tell us about the new juice store concept. maybe it will give us insight to what could end up being one of the three top markets for the company india. i can't wait...
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Dec 31, 2012
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markets in europe mixed after a shortened session in the uk, france and spain. our road map starts right where we were months ago, waiting for the 112th congress to agree on a debt reduction package. the senate convenes at 11:00 a.m. >> the dow had its worst day in a month on friday. set to close december with a loss. the question is, does it continue to sell off if there isn't an accord in congress. >> we will always have china. manufacturing pmi data from last night is the best in 21 months. can we finally say the chinese economy has been stabilized. >> but of course, we start in washington. as you know, congress comes back today. the house gaveling into session now with legislative business starting at 10:00 a.m. the senate returns at 11:00 a.m. eastern. there are only a few hours left to get a deal done. eamon? >> you're already hearing people talk the way they talk on new year's day. a lot of people wish they could go back in time and do things differently. that's the way people are talking in washington about this fiscal cliff. feeling as if this thing sud
markets in europe mixed after a shortened session in the uk, france and spain. our road map starts right where we were months ago, waiting for the 112th congress to agree on a debt reduction package. the senate convenes at 11:00 a.m. >> the dow had its worst day in a month on friday. set to close december with a loss. the question is, does it continue to sell off if there isn't an accord in congress. >> we will always have china. manufacturing pmi data from last night is the best in...
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Dec 5, 2012
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i think if you want the best value, you're probably going to end up somewhere in europe. >> in europe? and does the debt crisis make you reluctant there? you think there are real valuations and ultimate growth levels to come there? >> yeah, i think you have to take it all into account. it's down to individual stocks, but people like dividends. you can get twice the dividend levels with some large companies in europe selling at cheap valuations. we know all the problems haven't been fixed there, but you compare to what we were talking about in europe a year ago versus today, particularly exporters with china maybe turning a little bit. i just think an awful lot of money has left that area. if any of it starts moving back, and maybe that's what we're seeing, it's a nice place to be. the trick is you have to be there before the turn. >> hey, bill. >> yeah, rick? >> with citigroup cutting 11,000 jobs, austerity makes their stock run up. i'd like to know what our guests think if many of the others are going to be cutting. investors found something golden in those cuts. >> it's true because
i think if you want the best value, you're probably going to end up somewhere in europe. >> in europe? and does the debt crisis make you reluctant there? you think there are real valuations and ultimate growth levels to come there? >> yeah, i think you have to take it all into account. it's down to individual stocks, but people like dividends. you can get twice the dividend levels with some large companies in europe selling at cheap valuations. we know all the problems haven't been...
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Dec 14, 2012
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europe first. i'm also in charge of attracting foreign investments so the priority is pretty well known, freeing up bureaucracy and letting enterprises do their job and don't be really constrained by labor laws or too many laws that affect the willingness of an entrepreneur to do his job. >> find it interesting that we're dealing with the same issues, labor laws certainly in some cases have really hindered the ability for some businesses to do well. let me ask you about any and how things are going. we just saw a report recently where there was a report that said by 2020 america could actually be a great oil exporter which i found just amazing. where are you finding developments? i know that in ghana recently was a big opportunity for your company, also libya. where is the oil in the world and how is business at any? >> you know, the company is 75% about foreign business, so whatever we do, we do it mostly in africa and also in the u.s., but we're the biggest oil company in africa, and we're coming
europe first. i'm also in charge of attracting foreign investments so the priority is pretty well known, freeing up bureaucracy and letting enterprises do their job and don't be really constrained by labor laws or too many laws that affect the willingness of an entrepreneur to do his job. >> find it interesting that we're dealing with the same issues, labor laws certainly in some cases have really hindered the ability for some businesses to do well. let me ask you about any and how things...
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Dec 22, 2012
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europe is harder right now than america. >> exactly. that underscores the point that what we do nobody else can do. we want to make the offer when your wallet is out of your pocket not six months after you leave the store. you can go look in the filing cabinet that oracle or s.a.p. or microsoft has and that's the 20th century. we're all about doing things in realtime. we make you that offer when your wallet is out and your credit card is in your hand. nobody else can do that. that's a universal big data realtime problem that only tibco can solve. >> you mentioned oracle and s.a.p. and analysts that i checked in with say that ibm has come on very strong. >> ibm is our strongest competitor. we beat them every single time in terms of technical performance. they do have strong relationships and at the end of the day we have to be three years ahead of the competition and we believe we are. >> okay. you had 25 deals that were over 1 million. last year you had 28 deals over 1 million. should we believe that therefore the momentum here has slow
europe is harder right now than america. >> exactly. that underscores the point that what we do nobody else can do. we want to make the offer when your wallet is out of your pocket not six months after you leave the store. you can go look in the filing cabinet that oracle or s.a.p. or microsoft has and that's the 20th century. we're all about doing things in realtime. we make you that offer when your wallet is out and your credit card is in your hand. nobody else can do that. that's a...
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Dec 7, 2012
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is because of europe. but nonetheless i didn't want to miss it and turn around in three months and say, you know what? i miss add huge move. i bought the fxi. i'm no longer short on the iron ore stocks. >> apple, that stock has moved even lower than it was earlier. apple down nearly 3% right knew, approaching what has to be some $50 billion in market cap wiped out. the next is quite astonishing. apple has finished lower in 9 of 11 weeks. nearly $150 billion in market cap has been washed away, again, the worst week for this particular stock, which is the most valuable company on the planet, arguably america's most loved stock and company is looking at its worth week in some 2 1/2 years, pete. i mean how do you put all of this into perspective when you're looking at a stock that seems to be if not broken, certainly hurting? >> i think from a stock perspective it's broken. i don't think that it's broken at all. you're looking at a lot of charts breaking down. again, i think this points back to -- joe had brou
is because of europe. but nonetheless i didn't want to miss it and turn around in three months and say, you know what? i miss add huge move. i bought the fxi. i'm no longer short on the iron ore stocks. >> apple, that stock has moved even lower than it was earlier. apple down nearly 3% right knew, approaching what has to be some $50 billion in market cap wiped out. the next is quite astonishing. apple has finished lower in 9 of 11 weeks. nearly $150 billion in market cap has been washed...
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Dec 13, 2012
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. >> let's talk about europe. emerging markets, but have you a big exposure to europe. stock markets going up, but no economic activity to speak of. is that where the economic activity not picking up yet for you guys either? >> yeah, when you look at last season, the last lawn and garden season, it was down somewhere in the neighborhood of 15%, the market overall, and that was really reflective, obviously of decreased consumer spending and people feeling a lot of the impacts of macro economic conditions in europe. as we look forward, into europe, into this next season, we're calling it flat, simply because there are is so much uncertainty going on over there with how they solve economic problems. at the same time, geographic diversification is really important for us, especially in emerging markets. last week, friday, we closed on a deal down in brazil, one of the key markets we look at from an emerging market standpoint, a company by the name of bronco, which does a lot of high-end equipment, commercial type equipment for the brazilian market and we think that will be
. >> let's talk about europe. emerging markets, but have you a big exposure to europe. stock markets going up, but no economic activity to speak of. is that where the economic activity not picking up yet for you guys either? >> yeah, when you look at last season, the last lawn and garden season, it was down somewhere in the neighborhood of 15%, the market overall, and that was really reflective, obviously of decreased consumer spending and people feeling a lot of the impacts of...
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Dec 3, 2012
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now europe. you know, there was a little bit of a -- a confusion this morning when spain asked for a bailout. they're talking bank bailout, country bailout, new program. rates are down. i've seen many stories, if this is really going to be a positive rates being down, we have to really draw in more global investors. do you think that will happen ultimately? >> ultimately, i do think it will. any time europe gets pushed to the background, i'm kind of pleased. as long as their banking system isn't going to affect ours, i think we can still grow internally with some of the other partners out there. china looks like it's coming back. so yeah, maybe that will help. >> in china, you bring up one final good point as we wrap this up. china, many believe that it's reaching its soft bottom. i don't dispute that. i know if we look at shanghai composit composite, it doesn't necessarily reflect that. in the end, sideways movement at these gdp levels is still a headwind considering the growth china had four ye
now europe. you know, there was a little bit of a -- a confusion this morning when spain asked for a bailout. they're talking bank bailout, country bailout, new program. rates are down. i've seen many stories, if this is really going to be a positive rates being down, we have to really draw in more global investors. do you think that will happen ultimately? >> ultimately, i do think it will. any time europe gets pushed to the background, i'm kind of pleased. as long as their banking...
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Dec 17, 2012
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only 18% from the sick man that is europe. the company plans to expand its boat business aggressively into brazil which you know is the fourth largest global boat market. and brunswick only has 1% share at the moment. you know that can go up. brunswick's boat engine is roaring, plus the company's been cleaning up its balance sheet to where it has the lowest level of debt in more than seven years. it's giving you a juicy 27% gain since i recommended it a little less than a year ago back on january 30th. even after this move the sfok is still pretty darn cheap, selling for just 12 times earning, 12.5% long-term growth rate and obviously this new kicker. the bottom line, hurricane sandy was a horrible tragedy. but as we recover from that destruction, there are opportunities like the 65,000 boats that were damaged or destroyed in the storm. $650 million worth of boats that will most likely be replaced and brunswick is the most likely place that they'll replace them at. let's go to elizabeth in florida, please. el ell elliz beth. >
only 18% from the sick man that is europe. the company plans to expand its boat business aggressively into brazil which you know is the fourth largest global boat market. and brunswick only has 1% share at the moment. you know that can go up. brunswick's boat engine is roaring, plus the company's been cleaning up its balance sheet to where it has the lowest level of debt in more than seven years. it's giving you a juicy 27% gain since i recommended it a little less than a year ago back on...
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Dec 19, 2012
12/12
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in europe, something i bet bill mcdermott would agree with. and a subtle undertone that suggested salesforce.com wasn't doing as well as oracle either. whatever, let's just say business is very strong. cash is brimming, $34 billion, despite a buyback that's taken in 350 million shares, $10 billion worth of stock. at a time that suggests a collapse in technical spending, oracle is saying the opposite. it was an amazing, affirmative call. and my hat is off to the entire team. we may have worries about apple. we may be concerned about personal computers, but overall tech spending, it's hard to be better than this. welcome to the future. at last, it's like the past. stay with cramer. bob, these projections... they're... optimistic. productivity up, costs down, time to market reduced... those are good things. upstairs, they will see fantasy. not fantasy... logistics. ups came in, analyzed our supply chain, inventory systems... ups? ups. not fantasy? who would have thought? i did. we did, bob. we did. got it.
in europe, something i bet bill mcdermott would agree with. and a subtle undertone that suggested salesforce.com wasn't doing as well as oracle either. whatever, let's just say business is very strong. cash is brimming, $34 billion, despite a buyback that's taken in 350 million shares, $10 billion worth of stock. at a time that suggests a collapse in technical spending, oracle is saying the opposite. it was an amazing, affirmative call. and my hat is off to the entire team. we may have worries...
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Dec 1, 2012
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with europe under control, the u.s. doing quite well, with china expanding and india blooming, not to mention the splendid addition to t barn to the family starbucks has a terrific story to tell and they can tell it. i think it may be a one off situation. the business of fried chicken, it's cooled there, it's cooled in china. i can't draw any conclusion. plus it's worth pointing out the united states lowered a bit, too. it was, alas, a disappointment. but yum is a remarkable company. my inclination would be to hold on to it no matter what. if you really need to get out of it maybe at a higher price. perhaps at next thursday's analyst meeting. for yum in general it's worth pointing out that the restaurant stocks have become quite inhospitable of late. with everyone from mcdonald's and darden, cracker barrel and chipotle disappointing the street, only panera has remained strong. my takeaway please don't draw conclusion that china's back sliding. we have way too much evidence to the contrary. just conclude that something's
with europe under control, the u.s. doing quite well, with china expanding and india blooming, not to mention the splendid addition to t barn to the family starbucks has a terrific story to tell and they can tell it. i think it may be a one off situation. the business of fried chicken, it's cooled there, it's cooled in china. i can't draw any conclusion. plus it's worth pointing out the united states lowered a bit, too. it was, alas, a disappointment. but yum is a remarkable company. my...
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Dec 10, 2012
12/12
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you don't want to kick the can down the road like they did in europe. but i think some sense that they are going to come up with something. >> how do you invest regardless of the outcome? >> right now -- well, you know, here we go. i'm always the bear, right? i would be very cautious right now. because we have some concerns in regard to some preannouncements that might come around. you got a lot of cash in profit coffers. you can't just keep playing extra dividends. and so at some point you have to show revenues in growth. there's not a lot of evidence of that right now. >> in the meantime, rick santelli, you've got a big weekend coming up. the fed meeting. lots of data. what are you setting yourselves up for here? >> you're right. we have $66 billion starting out. and the first day of a two-day fed meeting. our last meeting was the 24th of october. you'll see a charts of 10s, 30s going back to that meeting. and into a treasury purchase program, virtually everybody expects that. and the dollar actually is a little bit higher than the last meeting. and m
you don't want to kick the can down the road like they did in europe. but i think some sense that they are going to come up with something. >> how do you invest regardless of the outcome? >> right now -- well, you know, here we go. i'm always the bear, right? i would be very cautious right now. because we have some concerns in regard to some preannouncements that might come around. you got a lot of cash in profit coffers. you can't just keep playing extra dividends. and so at some...
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Dec 21, 2012
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and europe then pushed the free trade. the euro itself actually owes a lot to the uk's expertise. the creation of the euro, a lot of people within the euro were saying, well, you know, we're going to go ahead along and do this and we're going to do this and we're going to do that. and it was the expertise of the city of london and the british civil severalants heading the european euro projects who said actually, no, that won't work in practical terms. politicians have to live in the real world. >> and maybe to pander to people in the way that there are fears that they may have. even all of that said, how important is it for the eu that they maintain this relationship? >> well, i think the relationship has got to change. so my view is that the euro absolutely survives. ubs has always, always believed that the euro will be 17 countries. it should never have been created, you about now that it's here, it must stay intact. but the eu's relationship, that i think probably does have to adjust. because the eurozone has to integr
and europe then pushed the free trade. the euro itself actually owes a lot to the uk's expertise. the creation of the euro, a lot of people within the euro were saying, well, you know, we're going to go ahead along and do this and we're going to do this and we're going to do that. and it was the expertise of the city of london and the british civil severalants heading the european euro projects who said actually, no, that won't work in practical terms. politicians have to live in the real...
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Dec 13, 2012
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europe is the main problem for europe because if you look at the global face, danone was able to positive 1.1% for the first three months of the year excludeing europe. at the same time in europe, it was 0.6% contraction. that's a problem for danone, the economic crisis in europe. the company is facing increasing pressure from some of its shareholders include nelson phelps. he believes that the share price of danone has a significant growth potential, something like 60% over the next two years. which is much higher than the current share price where at 51 euros this morning. danone is trying to save 200 million euros. that's the only number we really know for sure at the moment and that's the main response to the pressure from its shareholders. over to you. >> thanks very much. staying with france for just a second, the finance minister is commenting about the agreement that the euro group reached on the banking up. it's integrity is good for the agreement and as we focus on greece today, conditions are in place to disburse the next tranche of aid to greece totalling 43 billion euros. >>>
europe is the main problem for europe because if you look at the global face, danone was able to positive 1.1% for the first three months of the year excludeing europe. at the same time in europe, it was 0.6% contraction. that's a problem for danone, the economic crisis in europe. the company is facing increasing pressure from some of its shareholders include nelson phelps. he believes that the share price of danone has a significant growth potential, something like 60% over the next two years....
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Dec 12, 2012
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you look at fiscal cliff and what's going on in europe. they are standing on guard ready to make decisions very quickly, so when the survey was done. fiscal cliff didn't seem to have as much energy around t.each day that passes we're hearing from our clients, we're going to hold off and we have to make sure. it's really the quickness in which they can do this. >> i was going to ask you if you did that survey today, i wonder whether or not the hiring plans would be a little bit different. if we go into recession or are go over the cliff, what do you think the survey results would look like? >> it's a great question, and, you know, of course, you can't get down to what those 18,000 employers would really say now because some still have demand and some would be less impacted and more impacted. we look at our clients and what they are trying to do right now. 27% in this survey said there would be no change, and the reason this number is high and higher than we've seen, they are holding their hands tight. okay. what do i do? don't know what to
you look at fiscal cliff and what's going on in europe. they are standing on guard ready to make decisions very quickly, so when the survey was done. fiscal cliff didn't seem to have as much energy around t.each day that passes we're hearing from our clients, we're going to hold off and we have to make sure. it's really the quickness in which they can do this. >> i was going to ask you if you did that survey today, i wonder whether or not the hiring plans would be a little bit different....
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Dec 11, 2012
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we're seeing definitive bifurcation of northern europe and southern europe. southern europe, we are creating an underclass of long-term, especially youth unemployed that is going to give us a problem when the economies eventually start to get into balance and start to pick up. we still have this issue, even though we have tens of millions of people out of work, we still can't find the right skills and the right time. >> you mentioned the uk. the unemployment picture never got that bad in britain. so what happens now? why did it outperform? >> the uk is so different from the rest of europe. we've got london, the financial services sector, that didn't actually, in terms of job numbers, get hit as hard as the rest of europe. so the uk has been pretty resilience. that is starting to create jobs regionally all around the country. the thing we have to look at, though, is a lot of the jobs that have been created are part-time and temporary. but both are still jobs and now jobs are being created in the uk. >>. >> david there speaking with ross. >>> now, the fed begin
we're seeing definitive bifurcation of northern europe and southern europe. southern europe, we are creating an underclass of long-term, especially youth unemployed that is going to give us a problem when the economies eventually start to get into balance and start to pick up. we still have this issue, even though we have tens of millions of people out of work, we still can't find the right skills and the right time. >> you mentioned the uk. the unemployment picture never got that bad in...
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Dec 19, 2012
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but i could see the feds easing, europe is easing. i can see maybe profits are going to come in better. maybe we had great housing coming in today. when they are doing this toe dance, how can the market make sense of that. >> we have had the debt crisis to train us how to deal with this? you start ignoring what the politicians had to say. and that is really now traders look at it. >> i'm here to tell you, one for one doesn't work. this is going to be his biggest challenge. the racing ising of the top chae is it. republicans aren't going to like that. and the grass roots aren't going to like that. and the only people that are going to like it are the liberals and the unions. >> but this is a big problem on spending and i think that is where the president will see the deal fall apart. they are close. pretty close. but we do need to see a net revenue, neutral plan. >> are you kidding? >> republicans want to three to four to one. >> they do want that, but they can live with the revenue neutral plan. >> one to one is insanity. >> it is not
but i could see the feds easing, europe is easing. i can see maybe profits are going to come in better. maybe we had great housing coming in today. when they are doing this toe dance, how can the market make sense of that. >> we have had the debt crisis to train us how to deal with this? you start ignoring what the politicians had to say. and that is really now traders look at it. >> i'm here to tell you, one for one doesn't work. this is going to be his biggest challenge. the...
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Dec 17, 2012
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now europe looks slightly better. china looks like a soft landing and our unemployment rate is 7.75%. right now when i look at the ten-year march bond futures i see just trading below that 1.2320 area and if it settles below that that says yield will trade above that 1.75 area possibly hit 1.8, 1.9. >> you have a question? >> looks like you agree. anthony? >> yes. >> tepper says the parkt is rich. it sounds like you agree. >> yeah, i absolutely do agree with that. absolutely. i think that with economies improving, things like that, the safety or the safe haven look comes out of bonds, into the risk on assets, equity markets. >> all right. now you know how our guys are playing the fiscal cliff. would you rather buy bonds or stocks right now? logon and vote in our poll. we'll give you those results on our online show tomorrow. scott back over to you. >> all right, jackie, thanks so much. up on "halftime," only eight full trading days before the fiscal cliff deadline. if we don't get a deal investors may need to take cov
now europe looks slightly better. china looks like a soft landing and our unemployment rate is 7.75%. right now when i look at the ten-year march bond futures i see just trading below that 1.2320 area and if it settles below that that says yield will trade above that 1.75 area possibly hit 1.8, 1.9. >> you have a question? >> looks like you agree. anthony? >> yes. >> tepper says the parkt is rich. it sounds like you agree. >> yeah, i absolutely do agree with that....
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Dec 17, 2012
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europe is week. but with demands elsewhere looking healthy, some numbers at least seem to be going apple's way. the question is whether samsung and amazon are meaningfully zapping the apple products. >> all right, jan. thanks so much. >> we've got both sides of that debate right now. the iphone 5's big debut in china is further proof that apple's fundamentals are solid one says. but stewart jeffrey is not sold. he says rivals like google's android are catching up. we were just talking there. jon pointing out the other competition out there. stock down 25% in the last three months. you remain bullish though. why? >> i do. i think a lot of the selling has to do with capital gains taxes. i think it was from the 700 level. and then you had another wave of it with long-term capital gains taxes. fears of that after the election we think caused an issue. we think that's why the stock is down. we still think it's quite solid. >> what about the competitive environment? stewart, that's one you've been looking
europe is week. but with demands elsewhere looking healthy, some numbers at least seem to be going apple's way. the question is whether samsung and amazon are meaningfully zapping the apple products. >> all right, jan. thanks so much. >> we've got both sides of that debate right now. the iphone 5's big debut in china is further proof that apple's fundamentals are solid one says. but stewart jeffrey is not sold. he says rivals like google's android are catching up. we were just...
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Dec 20, 2012
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in europe, something i bet bill mcdermott would disagree with. and a subtle undertone that suggested salesforce.com wasn't doing as well as oracle either. i know marc benioff would dispute and i bet would be right. whatever, let's just say business is very strong. cash is brimming, $34 billion, despite a buyback that's taken in 350 million shares, $10 billion worth of stock. at a time that headlines suggest a collapse in technical spending, oracle is saying the opposite. it was an amazing, affirmative call. and my hat is off to the entire team. we may have worries about apple. we may be concerned about personal computers, but overall tech spending with big data and storage, it's hard to be better than this. welcome to the future. at last, it's like the past. stay with cramer.
in europe, something i bet bill mcdermott would disagree with. and a subtle undertone that suggested salesforce.com wasn't doing as well as oracle either. i know marc benioff would dispute and i bet would be right. whatever, let's just say business is very strong. cash is brimming, $34 billion, despite a buyback that's taken in 350 million shares, $10 billion worth of stock. at a time that headlines suggest a collapse in technical spending, oracle is saying the opposite. it was an amazing,...
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Dec 7, 2012
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europe has run kind of far -- the market has chosen to believe that europe's problems are somewhat behind us. i don't really share that philosophy. but i think this move is interesting. >> but the european financial risk fear indicators look great. in fact, these financial indicators look great worldwide. i agree with you trat central banks are greasing the wheels. but in a very gloomy world, a very gloomy psychology where the worst case becomes the most talked-about case, at some point don't the markets send an impressive message -- and again, they are kind of moving together and the direction is higher, jim iuorio. what does that tell you sfl? >> it tells me things are better than they were. the european crisis isn't done but it's certainly not at the same level it was two years ago. they took some major steps in fixing things. i'm saying they haven't fixed it yet. i always like to be a little bit cautious. but like i said, i would be interested in buying japan. i am mildly negative short term on u.s. but i don't think there's enough -- they're so underinvested that i don't think any do
europe has run kind of far -- the market has chosen to believe that europe's problems are somewhat behind us. i don't really share that philosophy. but i think this move is interesting. >> but the european financial risk fear indicators look great. in fact, these financial indicators look great worldwide. i agree with you trat central banks are greasing the wheels. but in a very gloomy world, a very gloomy psychology where the worst case becomes the most talked-about case, at some point...
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Dec 3, 2012
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much less consumer dependent than what we see maybe in europe and the u.s. but, yes, that meeting is just back into expansion territory. that's good in itself. global growth will be looking for china to be going ahead. so good but modest. so any demand elsewhere could have an impact on china. >> have we had the china slowdown? >> we've had mosts of it i think. but again, china is very much in recent line with the cycle of the global economy and we'll be looking for some of the big growth engines to help them, as well. >> what's the chinese swing factor for investors? >> sitting in europe clearly it's something we focus upon. is it a driving force, absolutely not. the tail risk i think is what scares us. so do i feel heartened by the numbers in china, yes, it's kind of a positive. but there's more important things. >> if you're worried about synchronized global slowdown, you need one begin sort of spluttering on a little bit better. >> the difficulty is that it's a very large consensus among the investors in europe that come what may, they're not going to fee
much less consumer dependent than what we see maybe in europe and the u.s. but, yes, that meeting is just back into expansion territory. that's good in itself. global growth will be looking for china to be going ahead. so good but modest. so any demand elsewhere could have an impact on china. >> have we had the china slowdown? >> we've had mosts of it i think. but again, china is very much in recent line with the cycle of the global economy and we'll be looking for some of the big...
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Dec 28, 2012
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especially in europe. so even if the government was not trying to actively push that development, i think we would see a depreciation in the yen anyway and just stepping up the pressure here because clearly japan is back in recession and they need to do something about it. >> what i wonder is if you look at the performance of the nikkei this year, the performance of the yen, the yen is having its weakest year since 2005 and in the mirror image the nikkei is doing quite well. but this all rests on shinzo abe's administration and the bank of japan delivering. should we expect they'll be able to succeed? >> it is a bit of an experiment. if they really change their target for the bank of japan to the 2% inflation target and they -- then they have to find these instruments to actually achieve it. because they've done what everybody else has been doing. they've printed money, they've created this huge fund to buy up assets, which, you know, they're ever increasing and they're ever increasing the rate of monthly
especially in europe. so even if the government was not trying to actively push that development, i think we would see a depreciation in the yen anyway and just stepping up the pressure here because clearly japan is back in recession and they need to do something about it. >> what i wonder is if you look at the performance of the nikkei this year, the performance of the yen, the yen is having its weakest year since 2005 and in the mirror image the nikkei is doing quite well. but this all...
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Dec 10, 2012
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and the shipments to europe were even worse. we saw shipments to europe fall by 18% year on year. this is the worst performance that we saw in three years. so overall, peek are quite concerned about the fiscal cliff, they're worried about whether or not the countries in those parts of the world will continue to by chinese aid goods. if you look at those figures in isolation would show a negative picture. however, if you look on the other side, there are some other numbers that were offsetting those trade data figures. we had the factory overput figures over the weekend. retail sales numbers came in relatively strong showing strength in november. then, of course, there were the consumer and producer prices which showed producer prices and inflation were relatively under control. they're well under the government's own target. >> eunice, thanks very much for all of that. stick around because straight ahead of the program, italian snr marino whose center left party is leading opinion polls. will give us his take on the political unfolding trauma in roam. we'll be right back. >>> welc
and the shipments to europe were even worse. we saw shipments to europe fall by 18% year on year. this is the worst performance that we saw in three years. so overall, peek are quite concerned about the fiscal cliff, they're worried about whether or not the countries in those parts of the world will continue to by chinese aid goods. if you look at those figures in isolation would show a negative picture. however, if you look on the other side, there are some other numbers that were offsetting...
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Dec 26, 2012
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in europe, the dax in germany is up and running. we are higher -- lower, rather, sorry, by half a percent. overnight in japan, the nikkei, that was higher. let's see the nikkei up about 1.5%. >>> now the holiday shopping season is drawing to a close. and early numbers suggest what started out strong is ending with a whimper. mastercard spending pulse unit estimate sales rose .7% over the past two months which would be the weakest pace since 2008 during the financial crisis. many analysts had expected sales to rise 3% to 4%. earlier we spoke with michael mcnamara from mastercard advisers about the impact the fiscal cliff may be having on consumers. listen in. >> beginning of december when we saw the sales numbers come down, confidence numbers come down. something the media coverage really has brought home and clarified what the fiscal cliff means to personal finance. and that debate really seems to be acting as -- almost creating a sense of gravity that's pulling down different elements of the economies. >> spending pulse says even o
in europe, the dax in germany is up and running. we are higher -- lower, rather, sorry, by half a percent. overnight in japan, the nikkei, that was higher. let's see the nikkei up about 1.5%. >>> now the holiday shopping season is drawing to a close. and early numbers suggest what started out strong is ending with a whimper. mastercard spending pulse unit estimate sales rose .7% over the past two months which would be the weakest pace since 2008 during the financial crisis. many...
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Dec 1, 2012
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we know europe is falling off a cliff. on the one hand europe could be falling off the cliff and on the other hand very strong for you. >> think of it this way. if companies have less revenue they got to reset their cost base. they'll have to do more with less. software from sap will help them do that. also if you look at certain markets in europe like germany, middle east, africa, there are some parts that are really growing. and with very strong brand. if you want to grow your revenues, be mobile with your consumer, leverage the cloud for lower cost, optimize your supply chain, whatever you want to do, sap does it all. >> it does. normally someone might say jim why did you give him that last minute free pass? that's what happens when you got a stock as fabulous as your. you're able to tell the story. >> jim i have 65,000 people and an echo system six times that size that's passionate about the customer. what we tried to bring to this company is a customer centristity and innovation. >> bill mcdermott the co-ceo of sap. w
we know europe is falling off a cliff. on the one hand europe could be falling off the cliff and on the other hand very strong for you. >> think of it this way. if companies have less revenue they got to reset their cost base. they'll have to do more with less. software from sap will help them do that. also if you look at certain markets in europe like germany, middle east, africa, there are some parts that are really growing. and with very strong brand. if you want to grow your revenues,...
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Dec 31, 2012
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that is quite expensive here in europe. i don't necessarily see europe as a whole changing its mind and going from nuclear. if you take germany, for example, why did they change their mind? obviously, there were safety concerns but probably more importantly, it was to do with the ballot box. there was quite a bit of opposition, people out on the streets protesting and in the end of the days, the politicians decided to take what i considered to be a political course rather than an economic one. >> i don't think we would describe it as positively rosy just yet. we're saying that the storm clouds are listing. but as you're hinting, there are big question marks about growth in 2013, particularly in the euro area where we're not expecting very much more than a flat economy at best. key thing for the investment markets, as you know, is that gdp growth is only a small part of the story. a lot depends on what is priced in to begin with, how the news flow compares with those expectations, underlying levels of valuations. we think th
that is quite expensive here in europe. i don't necessarily see europe as a whole changing its mind and going from nuclear. if you take germany, for example, why did they change their mind? obviously, there were safety concerns but probably more importantly, it was to do with the ballot box. there was quite a bit of opposition, people out on the streets protesting and in the end of the days, the politicians decided to take what i considered to be a political course rather than an economic one....
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Dec 6, 2012
12/12
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if china bounces back quicker than we anticipate, or if europe flattens out. we're optimistic next year. we want to make sure our clients are in this market. >> scott, good to have you on the program. >> all right. thanks, guys. >> you know, he's not alone. lots and lots of analysts are coming out with their forecasts for next year. pretty bullish. >> even morgan stanley, right? >> yeah, for once. all right. heading toward the close here with about 12 minutes left. the dow hanging on to a gain of about 30 points. >> the situation with anti-virus software pioneer john mcafee is going from strange to surreal. he's now in custody. now reportedly has had two heart attacks. we're going to tell you the latest on this bizarre and evolving story. >>> also, the ceo of accounting giant recently met with president obama. he say miss other ceos in that meeting agreed the tax rates for the wealthy have to rise as part of any fiscal cliff deal. he joins us exclusively later on "the closing bell." stay tuned. [ male announcer ] this december, remember -- ♪ you can stay in
if china bounces back quicker than we anticipate, or if europe flattens out. we're optimistic next year. we want to make sure our clients are in this market. >> scott, good to have you on the program. >> all right. thanks, guys. >> you know, he's not alone. lots and lots of analysts are coming out with their forecasts for next year. pretty bullish. >> even morgan stanley, right? >> yeah, for once. all right. heading toward the close here with about 12 minutes left....
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Dec 19, 2012
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we supported the marshall plan that helped europe regain its strength. and pioneered the atm, so you can get cash when you want it. it's been our privilege to back ideas like these, and the leaders behind them. so why should our anniversary matter to you? because for 200 years, we've been helping people and their ideas move from ambition to achievement. and the next great idea could be yours. ♪ if you're a man with low testosterone, you should know that axiron is here. the only underarm treatment for low t. that's right, the one you apply to the underarm. axiron is not for use in women or anyone younger than 18. axiron can transfer to others through direct contact. women, especially those who are or who may become pregnant, and children should avoid contact where axiron is applied as unexpected signs of puberty in children or changes in body hair or increased acne in women may occur. report these signs and symptoms to your doctor if they occur. tell your doctor about all medical conditions and medications. do not use if you have prostate or breast canc
we supported the marshall plan that helped europe regain its strength. and pioneered the atm, so you can get cash when you want it. it's been our privilege to back ideas like these, and the leaders behind them. so why should our anniversary matter to you? because for 200 years, we've been helping people and their ideas move from ambition to achievement. and the next great idea could be yours. ♪ if you're a man with low testosterone, you should know that axiron is here. the only underarm...
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Dec 13, 2012
12/12
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and would you put money to work in parts of europe? >> right now, i would not. i still think there aresome problems to work out, it is my third choice. u.s. first, europe second. and i think there is more beyond with the government having an emerging plan. this is just taking a long period of time and i think that will continue on to next year. >> a very interesting guy, robert kapito. you just heard him say that his choices in order were u.s., then emerging markets, then europe. if you were to follow that advice and put money into the u.s. market, give me a couple of names would you look for for 2013. >> first of all, you want to buy names that cater to all of us that have less money. let's talk about one of those names. mcdonald's and costco. mcdonald'scaters to a letter budget crowd. obviously they have a huge emerging market expansion as well. and they seem to be capturing market share from starbucks. they've enrolled in juices and try to capture market share from jamba juice. >> a horrible luxury. not a luxury. but affordable food
and would you put money to work in parts of europe? >> right now, i would not. i still think there aresome problems to work out, it is my third choice. u.s. first, europe second. and i think there is more beyond with the government having an emerging plan. this is just taking a long period of time and i think that will continue on to next year. >> a very interesting guy, robert kapito. you just heard him say that his choices in order were u.s., then emerging markets, then europe. if...
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Dec 27, 2012
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that is not the case in europe. you have, therefore, you don't have the incentive to take risks, to take the investment as you have in other parts of the world. >> are you plaming the french regulator for being responsible of the price war? >> blaming is such a typical word. i'm making an analysis. the realities are that if you have to invest as an operator, your investment incentives in the u.s. to take an example are very different than what they are in europe. that's a fact. it's not the blame, it's a fact. if your objective is low price for consumers, you got exactly what you wanted. but don't expect a lot of activities will start here in europe. >> do you think it's sustainable, this price determination? >> those are two very different worlds. personally, i think if you look to europe, we should have a stimulus for the right incentives been we need cross border merges. we need innovation, home grown innovation. we need to be active for that. we need to make stimulus for that. and that's not with just big compan
that is not the case in europe. you have, therefore, you don't have the incentive to take risks, to take the investment as you have in other parts of the world. >> are you plaming the french regulator for being responsible of the price war? >> blaming is such a typical word. i'm making an analysis. the realities are that if you have to invest as an operator, your investment incentives in the u.s. to take an example are very different than what they are in europe. that's a fact. it's...
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Dec 20, 2012
12/12
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europe is 17% of sales. at 20 times earnings, these guys with 20% roe, these guys are worth owning here and 2% div. broke through 100, the stock actually looks like it's breaking out. >>> coming up next, which of the world's xheechs will be the leader of the pack in 2013? bruce kasman is here with his predictions for next year. we'll tell you if you should get in on this trade. stay tuned. [ male announcer ] trading's like a high-speed train. and you don't want to miss it with thinkorswim by td ameritrade. you get knock-your-socks-off tools, simple one-click orders, real-time paper trading to hone your skills, plus anytime you need it support. ♪ stocks, options, futures, and forex. get your trading on track. thinkorswim by td ameritrade. trade commission free for 60 days, plus get up to $600 when you open an account. plus get up to $600 customer erin swenson bought so, i'm happy. today. sales go up... i'm happy. it went out today... i'm happy. what if she's not home? (together) she won't be happy. use ups!
europe is 17% of sales. at 20 times earnings, these guys with 20% roe, these guys are worth owning here and 2% div. broke through 100, the stock actually looks like it's breaking out. >>> coming up next, which of the world's xheechs will be the leader of the pack in 2013? bruce kasman is here with his predictions for next year. we'll tell you if you should get in on this trade. stay tuned. [ male announcer ] trading's like a high-speed train. and you don't want to miss it with...
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Dec 17, 2012
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. >> potentially europe looks like it's at least stabilized. if china has a soft landing, it's pretty hard to get bearish on the global economy when you have two of the major economies hopefully and looking like -- >> we are only a couple percent from the highs we made. what is it discounting? and just one other point, if you look at the bank stocks, the way they act here, if you look in europe, the euro stocks bank index is really flat here. for the last couple of months here and to me, you know, the u.s. banking index needs to see the confirmation of europe for this thing to go -- >> but look at what will happen if spain activates the omt. any bank that owns all those sovereign debt are going to fly in europe. that's what people are anticipating. you will get that buy-in. >> we saw the banks fly today. bank america, closing at a 52-week high. bertha's got the latest on that. bertha? >> yeah, it's had a really strong day, b of a, extending those gains right now to an 18-month high. it closed at the highs of the day there at $11 a share. whitne
. >> potentially europe looks like it's at least stabilized. if china has a soft landing, it's pretty hard to get bearish on the global economy when you have two of the major economies hopefully and looking like -- >> we are only a couple percent from the highs we made. what is it discounting? and just one other point, if you look at the bank stocks, the way they act here, if you look in europe, the euro stocks bank index is really flat here. for the last couple of months here and...
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Dec 5, 2012
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banks not doing too badly in europe as well. as far as debt markets, we had a spanish auction as well a short while ago. yields in spain, slightly higher on the back of it, up 5.35 percent. they did raise four and a quarter between the 3.5 to 4.5 billion they were looking the raise. they didn't get the total 4.5 billion, but it was across the three, seven and ten years. yields actually lower from previous auctions, still a bit higher on the seven year. what was interesting was the spanish ten year auction yield this morning came in 5.32%, pretty close to the cash yield as well. 5.46% was what the yield was in october, and 2.3 times. the ten-year today was better. they are now pre-funding for 2013. they've done the 2012 funding. on the commodity markets -- sorry, on the currency markets this is where we stand at the moment. aussie/dollar might be a little bit firmer, bearing in mind the sterling taking a bit of a dip. new orders contracting in the services pmi. for the first time since december 2010, not a good outlook for mr. os
banks not doing too badly in europe as well. as far as debt markets, we had a spanish auction as well a short while ago. yields in spain, slightly higher on the back of it, up 5.35 percent. they did raise four and a quarter between the 3.5 to 4.5 billion they were looking the raise. they didn't get the total 4.5 billion, but it was across the three, seven and ten years. yields actually lower from previous auctions, still a bit higher on the seven year. what was interesting was the spanish ten...
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Dec 4, 2012
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what is the right multiple in the world that we are about to embark on with the europe that is probably a five to ten year recession. i think the u.s. is at best slogging through things here. i would make an argument that maybe the right multiple is 12 or so. if you throw in earnings of 95 to 100 you have an s&p that is significantly lower. >> rallies during the last phase of the market have peaked out around 14 times earnings. it is up from here in terms of a forward multiple. i don't see why we have to start applying a discount to what we have been seeing in terms of peak multiples given what we have been through. do you think that the uncertainty has peaked or is ahead of us? the maximum uncertainty. >> i would make the argument it is potentially forward but i think a lot of people would disagree. >> markets don't just pick a multiple like fisher price. the low multiple in the 1970s when you had slow growth and rising inflation was seven times earnings. if you google back to what you said which is you have to analysts, what are they telling me at this point? at the beginning of the y
what is the right multiple in the world that we are about to embark on with the europe that is probably a five to ten year recession. i think the u.s. is at best slogging through things here. i would make an argument that maybe the right multiple is 12 or so. if you throw in earnings of 95 to 100 you have an s&p that is significantly lower. >> rallies during the last phase of the market have peaked out around 14 times earnings. it is up from here in terms of a forward multiple. i...
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Dec 14, 2012
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europe, japan and the u.s. are all up 12% to 15% for the year. china's down
europe, japan and the u.s. are all up 12% to 15% for the year. china's down
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Dec 18, 2012
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europe is much stronger for obvious reasons. but i think we have nice balance of growth around the world. >> so just on the middle east, i'm assuming that business in most areas of the middle east has been quite tough here over the past two years especially or are you seeing pockets continuing to grow despite the -- >> yeah. so uae in saudi has been very strong. but clearly egypt and places like syria have been affected. and we've defer natalie seen a reduction in the market. but less growth than we've seen in the past. but i think, again, over time, it's a wealthy part of the world. >> there's speculation that you could be selling somewhere in the region of $2 billion worth of assets in hong kong, london, new york, paris. are you? >> no, no. too much speculation. we have on the market a slight hiccup in that process where we've gone with one party, we're now going to go back out to the markets. and then we said early next year we'll put our london intercontinental on the market. >> why? >> because we're very clear about that. o
europe is much stronger for obvious reasons. but i think we have nice balance of growth around the world. >> so just on the middle east, i'm assuming that business in most areas of the middle east has been quite tough here over the past two years especially or are you seeing pockets continuing to grow despite the -- >> yeah. so uae in saudi has been very strong. but clearly egypt and places like syria have been affected. and we've defer natalie seen a reduction in the market. but...
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and europe is not doing well. we all know that. but i think europe has stopped deteriorating. so if we look at the pmi numbers, for example, they're still really bad, but they have stopped going down and some of the numbers increased even though they're still well below 50. all of this together means that i think it's going to be a very interesting year for equities that will make money in equities this year. >> virginie, if there's any good news for investors, maybe they can focus on fundamentals or looking at some particular companies, you know, is it a stock picker's market, that kind of thing. but we have major electrics. especially just mentioned europe, we have german elections, we have what's going on in italy. is it going to still be about politics or is it a market that will overcome that? >> i think clearly if near death is behind us, this election will have an impact, but not as much as with this waiting on the markets in the past couple of years. clearly with italy coming up quite soon, find out if we're going to have somebody against reform or for reform. as we've
and europe is not doing well. we all know that. but i think europe has stopped deteriorating. so if we look at the pmi numbers, for example, they're still really bad, but they have stopped going down and some of the numbers increased even though they're still well below 50. all of this together means that i think it's going to be a very interesting year for equities that will make money in equities this year. >> virginie, if there's any good news for investors, maybe they can focus on...
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right now in europe, you can see that france is higher. the cac is up by 1%. >> you get rid of that 75% tax and that's what happens. >> exactly. the court ruled that unconstitutional, that 75% tax the way it has been laid out. maybe that's why you do see that cac moving higher there. also, take a look at what happened overnight in asia. the shanghai composite was up by 1.6%. japan, the nikkei, up by 0.7%. a lot of these markets are probably closed for new year's. also, take a look at the oil board today. you'll see that oil prices are down by about 35 cents, $90.45 a barrel. and the ten-year note, the yield was around 1.7% the last time we checked. the dollar has also been reacting rather well. all things considered. right now, the dollar is continuing up against most of these currencies. dollar versus the euro, euro is at 1.3193. dollar/yen is at 86.12 and gold prices have been a little higher this morning on, as well. you can see they're up by $5.70. $1,661 an ounce. joe. >> thank you. lawmakers are continuing fiscal cliff discussions th
right now in europe, you can see that france is higher. the cac is up by 1%. >> you get rid of that 75% tax and that's what happens. >> exactly. the court ruled that unconstitutional, that 75% tax the way it has been laid out. maybe that's why you do see that cac moving higher there. also, take a look at what happened overnight in asia. the shanghai composite was up by 1.6%. japan, the nikkei, up by 0.7%. a lot of these markets are probably closed for new year's. also, take a look...
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company turning around, europe off the map, china improving as well, central banks around the world, which are not going to change their easing policies any time soon. then china cooperating as well. >> i think lots of plus there is. we would agree that certainly housing is moving upward as mohammad mentioned this morning. energy costs in terms of natural gas are down. china is reinstituting fiscal stimulation and japan is on the move in terms of easier money. all that is a positive, but we have come to expect in the asset markets a 10%-plus type of return for taking equity risk. and really if the real economy only grows at 2% to 3%, it is a case of spending straw into gold and how long that will continue. a 5% return from stocks, 2% to 3% from bonds is something we should expect going forward even with the pluses that you mentioned. >> what about your outlook for gold? your outlook is that gold is going to move higher in 2013, and i would assume that's because you know the fed will be in the house. >> we think gold will move higher as will commodities. it is hard to say exactly how
company turning around, europe off the map, china improving as well, central banks around the world, which are not going to change their easing policies any time soon. then china cooperating as well. >> i think lots of plus there is. we would agree that certainly housing is moving upward as mohammad mentioned this morning. energy costs in terms of natural gas are down. china is reinstituting fiscal stimulation and japan is on the move in terms of easier money. all that is a positive, but...